Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 1.658445 1.891174 2.144302 2.440004 2.775930 3.145667 3.583503
2025-10-19 1.331101 1.655519 2.039169 2.526100 3.127591 3.846292 4.770572
2025-10-26 1.112106 1.469143 1.916608 2.518151 3.305549 4.301283 5.656856
2025-11-02 0.962989 1.336899 1.828424 2.521165 3.472087 4.731790 6.528537
2025-11-09 0.830570 1.204115 1.716029 2.467828 3.543409 5.026955 7.230393
2025-11-16 0.745787 1.123985 1.661946 2.481638 3.698516 5.438544 8.117968
2025-11-23 0.681658 1.064458 1.627824 2.515602 3.878784 5.893125 9.098755
2025-11-30 0.615686 0.993750 1.568060 2.501856 3.981369 6.235332 9.933564
2025-12-07 0.551443 0.918172 1.492104 2.453139 4.021303 6.479676 10.630511
2025-12-14 0.492150 0.843948 1.410262 2.385312 4.021260 6.656196 11.227177
2025-12-21 0.448479 0.790840 1.356883 2.357500 4.081159 6.929261 11.998024
2025-12-28 0.431725 0.781604 1.374825 2.449849 4.348170 7.561219 13.418649
2026-01-04 0.393745 0.735140 1.331260 2.443344 4.464793 7.983607 14.580923
2026-01-11 0.372067 0.716416 1.335660 2.524898 4.750045 8.733490 16.413964
2026-01-18 0.340307 0.675021 1.294247 2.517137 4.869812 9.196489 17.766154
2026-01-25 0.313695 0.640230 1.260975 2.520142 5.008056 9.702894 19.244192
2026-02-01 0.283403 0.594642 1.202126 2.466827 5.031084 9.992299 20.329364
2026-02-08 0.263933 0.568673 1.178687 2.480632 5.186449 10.547944 21.988189
2026-02-15 0.248445 0.549187 1.166053 2.514582 5.384783 11.204220 23.909616
2026-02-22 0.229838 0.520935 1.132409 2.500841 5.481924 11.663213 25.463786
2026-03-01 0.209966 0.487694 1.084832 2.452144 5.499232 11.957197 26.693617
2026-03-08 0.190511 0.453238 1.031134 2.384344 5.467674 12.143585 27.705281
2026-03-15 0.176087 0.428762 0.996939 2.356543 5.521672 12.517741 29.164964